Beijing Guoan 2-2 Shanghai Port — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.57
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.96
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.46
2-3 Goals
37%
2.1
4-5 Goals
27%
2.35
6+ Goals
13%
4.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.87
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.9
X/1
22%
4.53
X/2
5%
11.2
X/X
7%
7.36
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
17.7
2/2
11%
7.46
2/X
8%
15.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.7 — our 10% vs market 3.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
60%
+0.1pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.1pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+1.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.5pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.22/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.55
+19% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
34.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
25.2 Crosses 18.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 4.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Shanghai Port
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.74 xG 2.38
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
306 Passes 373
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 37
13 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2026 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 0-2 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
21.09.2025 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-3 HT 1-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
01.05.2025 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 1-2 HT 1-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
12.07.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 5-1 HT 3-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
05.04.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-2 HT 1-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
20.10.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 1-2 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
2-2
AWAY Shanghai Port
2.19 xG 1.05
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
436 Passes 231
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 7
26 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Port
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan and Shanghai Port couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Beijing Guoan carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Beijing Guoan had 64% of the ball to Shanghai Port's 36%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 2.19 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Beijing Guoan and 2.00 for Shanghai Port.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Port?

Beijing Guoan 2-2 Shanghai Port in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Port?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 60%, draw 20%, Shanghai Port 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beijing Guoan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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