Independiente Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Rivadavia v Union Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Union Santa Fe
ARJPBN
2-0
HT 1-0
Independiente Rivadavia
ARJPBN
Independiente Rivadavia 1-2 Union Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics
Union Santa Fe squeezed past Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Independiente Rivadavia at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Independiente Rivadavia had 61% of the ball to Union Santa Fe's 39%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.40 to 1.85.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Santa Fe led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Independiente Rivadavia and 1.67 for Union Santa Fe.
What was the final score of Independiente Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe?
Independiente Rivadavia 1-2 Union Santa Fe in the Argentina - Premier League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Rivadavia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Independiente Rivadavia 48%, draw 26%, Union Santa Fe 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.