Rosario Central vs Independiente Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rosario Central v Independiente — Team-Based Signals
Rosario Central vs Independiente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Independiente
ARJ
1-0
HT 1-0
Independiente
ARJ
Rosario Central 3-1 Independiente — Actual Match Statistics
Rosario Central beat Independiente 3-1 in the Argentina - Premier League on 10 May 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Rosario Central had 60% of the ball to Independiente's 40%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.96 to 0.90.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rosario Central and 0.67 for Independiente.
What was the final score of Rosario Central vs Independiente?
Rosario Central 3-1 Independiente in the Argentina - Premier League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs Independiente?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rosario Central win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Rosario Central 51%, draw 27%, Independiente 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosario Central) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.