Independiente vs Rosario Central Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente v Rosario Central — Team-Based Signals
Independiente vs Rosario Central Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Independiente
ARJ
1-0
HT 1-0
Independiente
ARJ
0-0
HT 0-0
Rosario Central
ARJ
Independiente 1-0 Rosario Central — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente edged past Rosario Central 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Independiente as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Independiente had 42% of the ball to Rosario Central's 58%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.65 to 0.93.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Independiente and 0.50 for Rosario Central.
What was the final score of Independiente vs Rosario Central?
Independiente 1-0 Rosario Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente vs Rosario Central?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Independiente 43%, draw 28%, Rosario Central 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.