Velez Sarsfield 0-0 River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.94
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.51
Over 2.5
47%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
31%
+7.3pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.1pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY River Plate EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +10%
1.10/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.09
+5% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
250 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
19.6 Crosses 17.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Sarsfield
1W-3D-2L
AWAY River Plate
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.22 xG 1.62
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
257 Passes 381
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2025 River Plate River Plate 4-1 HT 3-1 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
19.10.2024 River Plate River Plate 1-1 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
05.02.2024 River Plate River Plate 5-0 HT 4-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
03.09.2023 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 2-0 HT 1-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
30.05.2023 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 2-2 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
18.07.2022 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 2-2 HT 1-2 River Plate River Plate ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Velez Sarsfield
0-0
AWAY River Plate
1.04 xG 0.88
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
215 Passes 287
67% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 7
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Sarsfield and River Plate fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Velez Sarsfield had 44% of the ball to River Plate's 56%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.04 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Velez Sarsfield and 2.33 for River Plate.

What was the final score of Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate?

Velez Sarsfield 0-0 River Plate in the Argentina - Premier League on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Velez Sarsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Velez Sarsfield 38%, draw 28%, River Plate 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
16 Nov 2025
01:30 San Lorenzo vs CA Sarmiento Analysis →
03:30 Independiente vs Rosario Central Analysis →
23:00 Instituto Cordoba vs Talleres Cordoba Analysis →