San Lorenzo vs CA Sarmiento Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Lorenzo v CA Sarmiento — Team-Based Signals
San Lorenzo vs CA Sarmiento Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
San Lorenzo
ARJ
0-1
HT 0-0
San Lorenzo
ARJ
2-4
HT 1-3
San Lorenzo
ARJ
San Lorenzo 1-1 CA Sarmiento — Actual Match Statistics
San Lorenzo and CA Sarmiento couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was San Lorenzo at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.
On the day, San Lorenzo had 37% of the ball to CA Sarmiento's 63%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 1.20 to 0.29.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Lorenzo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for San Lorenzo and 0.67 for CA Sarmiento.
What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs CA Sarmiento?
San Lorenzo 1-1 CA Sarmiento in the Argentina - Premier League on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Lorenzo vs CA Sarmiento?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Lorenzo win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 51%, draw 30%, CA Sarmiento 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (San Lorenzo), BTTS No went the other way.