Baniyas SC 2-2 Al Ahli FC Dubai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒18:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.04
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
57%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.97
2-3 Goals
36%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.56
6+ Goals
11%
6.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-0.8pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.4pp
56%
Away Win
57%
-0.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baniyas SC EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai EU Bookmakers 62%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.18/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/0.72
-15% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +82%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
259 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 83%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
14.9 Crosses 17.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baniyas SC
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.56 xG 2.36
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
250 Passes 398
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 34
9 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.09.2025 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 1-0 HT 1-0 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
28.02.2025 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-0 HT 1-0 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
06.10.2024 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-5 HT 0-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
21.05.2024 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-1 HT 1-1 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
15.12.2023 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
07.05.2023 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baniyas SC
2-2
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
0.78 xG 1.36
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
323 Passes 312
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Baniyas SC vs Al Ahli FC Dubai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baniyas SC and Al Ahli FC Dubai couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Ahli FC Dubai at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Baniyas SC had 50% of the ball to Al Ahli FC Dubai's 50%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.78 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli FC Dubai led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Baniyas SC and 2.33 for Al Ahli FC Dubai.

What was the final score of Baniyas SC vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Baniyas SC 2-2 Al Ahli FC Dubai in the UAE - League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baniyas SC vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Baniyas SC 20%, draw 23%, Al Ahli FC Dubai 56%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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