Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Baniyas SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ahli FC Dubai v Baniyas SC — Team-Based Signals
Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Baniyas SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Al Ahli FC Dubai
BAE
1-2
HT 0-0
Al Ahli FC Dubai
BAE
1-2
HT 1-2
Baniyas SC
BAE
Al Ahli FC Dubai 1-0 Baniyas SC — Actual Match Statistics
Al Ahli FC Dubai edged past Baniyas SC 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahli FC Dubai as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Al Ahli FC Dubai had 64% of the ball to Baniyas SC's 36%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.67 to 0.46 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Ahli FC Dubai's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli FC Dubai had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Ahli FC Dubai and 1.00 for Baniyas SC.
What was the final score of Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Baniyas SC?
Al Ahli FC Dubai 1-0 Baniyas SC in the UAE - League on 11/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Baniyas SC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli FC Dubai 73%, draw 16%, Baniyas SC 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.