Khorfakkan 2-2 Al Sharjah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 11 Sep 2025

📅11/09/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
54%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.17
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
2.76
6+ Goals
8%
7.87
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.17 — our 25% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
25%
-2.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
54%
Away Win
52%
+2.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sharjah EU Bookmakers 56%
-5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +7%
1.23/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/0.90
+0% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -25%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
263 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
18.2 Crosses 17.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khorfakkan
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Al Sharjah
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.77 xG 1.86
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
267 Passes 379
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.01.2025 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 1-0 HT 0-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
07.09.2024 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 2-1 HT 1-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAELK
17.08.2024 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAELK
20.05.2024 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
15.12.2023 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 4-1 HT 2-1 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
17.02.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khorfakkan
2-2
AWAY Al Sharjah
1.54 xG 2.89
31% Ball Possession 69%
4 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 12
159 Passes 402
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 39
6 Crosses 45
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Khorfakkan vs Al Sharjah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khorfakkan and Al Sharjah couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Sharjah at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Khorfakkan had 31% of the ball to Al Sharjah's 69%, shots finished 4-24, expected goals 1.54 to 2.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sharjah led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Khorfakkan and 1.83 for Al Sharjah.

What was the final score of Khorfakkan vs Al Sharjah?

Khorfakkan 2-2 Al Sharjah in the UAE - League on 11/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khorfakkan vs Al Sharjah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Sharjah win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Khorfakkan 23%, draw 23%, Al Sharjah 54%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Sharjah), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Sharjah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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