Botev Vratsa 1-1 Septemvri Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
39%
+4.5pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.5pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 36%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.94/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.28
-8% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Vratsa
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2026 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
25.10.2025 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 2-1 HT 0-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
02.05.2025 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 3-2 HT 2-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
08.02.2025 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 2-2 HT 1-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
19.08.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 2-0 HT 2-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
07.07.2018 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 1-1 HT 1-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Vratsa
1-1
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs Septemvri Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Vratsa and Septemvri Sofia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Botev Vratsa at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Botev Vratsa had 52% of the ball to Septemvri Sofia's 48%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botev Vratsa had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Botev Vratsa and 1.00 for Septemvri Sofia.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs Septemvri Sofia?

Botev Vratsa 1-1 Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs Septemvri Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Vratsa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 44%, draw 24%, Septemvri Sofia 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Botev Vratsa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botev Vratsa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
10 May 2026
14:15 Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia Analysis →
19:15 Dobrudzha 1919 vs PFC Beroe Analysis →