Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spartak Varna v Slavia Sofia — Team-Based Signals
Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Spartak Varna 2-1 Slavia Sofia — Actual Match Statistics
Spartak Varna nicked a narrow win over Slavia Sofia 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spartak Varna as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Spartak Varna had 52% of the ball to Slavia Sofia's 48%, shots finished 23-9.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Slavia Sofia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Spartak Varna and 2.75 for Slavia Sofia.
What was the final score of Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia?
Spartak Varna 2-1 Slavia Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Spartak Varna 43%, draw 23%, Slavia Sofia 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Varna), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.