Aucas vs Uni. Catolica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Aucas v Uni. Catolica — Team-Based Signals
Aucas vs Uni. Catolica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Aucas 2-1 Uni. Catolica — Actual Match Statistics
Aucas edged past Uni. Catolica 2-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
From a near-even 38% / 29% / 33% read, it was Aucas who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
The match data tells the story: possession split 71% to 29% in Aucas's favour, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 0.74 to 0.19.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Aucas against 2.33 for Uni. Catolica.
Aucas vs Uni. Catolica Result & Final Score
Aucas 2 - 1 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Aucas vs Uni. Catolica Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Aucas 38%, draw 29%, Uni. Catolica 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aucas), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.