America de Cali 1-1 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.4pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.37/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.16
-3% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 72%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
17.4 Crosses 14.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Santa Fe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.25 xG 0.70
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 Passes 218
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
14.02.2026 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
03.08.2025 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-1 HT 2-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
16.02.2025 America de Cali America de Cali 2-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
12.11.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
21.04.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
28.08.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 2-0 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
1-1
AWAY Santa Fe
0.66 xG 1.16
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
423 Passes 187
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 17
31 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali and Santa Fe shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was America de Cali at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, America de Cali had 66% of the ball to Santa Fe's 34%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.66 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for America de Cali and 0.50 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Santa Fe?

America de Cali 1-1 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 53%, draw 26%, Santa Fe 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (America de Cali) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ Under 2.5
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