Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportes Tolima v Deportivo Pasto — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportes Tolima 1-0 Deportivo Pasto — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima edged past Deportivo Pasto 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Deportes Tolima had 63% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 37%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.80 to 0.32.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportes Tolima and 1.33 for Deportivo Pasto.
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?
Deportes Tolima 1-0 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 56%, draw 23%, Deportivo Pasto 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.