Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction — Model Probabilities
Deportes Tolima v Deportivo Pasto — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportes Tolima 1-0 Deportivo Pasto — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima edged past Deportivo Pasto 1-0.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (55%) landed.
On the day, possession split 63% to 37% in Deportes Tolima's favour, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.80 to 0.32.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Deportes Tolima against 1.33 for Deportivo Pasto.
Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto Result & Final Score
Deportes Tolima 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 58%, draw 25%, Deportivo Pasto 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.