Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Pasto v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Pasto nicked a narrow win over Deportes Tolima 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo Pasto as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 54% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 46%, shots finished 2-9, expected goals 0.20 to 0.69 — the balance of chances actually favoured Deportes Tolima.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 2.00 for Deportes Tolima.
What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima?
Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 50%, draw 25%, Deportes Tolima 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pasto), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.