Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Deportivo Pasto v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportivo Pasto 3-2 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Pasto came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Deportes Tolima 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
Our pre-match split (38% / 35% / 27%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Pasto found the edge the numbers couldn't. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, Deportivo Pasto had 23% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 77%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 0.94 to 0.90.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 2.00 for Deportes Tolima.
Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima Result & Final Score
Deportivo Pasto 3 - 2 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 38%, draw 35%, Deportes Tolima 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.