Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Pasto v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
Deportivo Pasto 3-2 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Pasto nicked a narrow win over Deportes Tolima 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Pasto found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 23% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 77%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 0.94 to 0.90.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 2.00 for Deportes Tolima.
What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima?
Deportivo Pasto 3-2 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 39%, draw 32%, Deportes Tolima 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.