Indy Eleven vs Sporting JAX Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Indy Eleven v Sporting JAX — Team-Based Signals
Indy Eleven 2-1 Sporting JAX — Actual Match Statistics
Indy Eleven squeezed past Sporting JAX 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Indy Eleven as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Indy Eleven had 54% of the ball to Sporting JAX's 46%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 1.73 to 0.54.
What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Sporting JAX?
Indy Eleven 2-1 Sporting JAX in the USL Championship on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Sporting JAX?
Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 59%, draw 24%, Sporting JAX 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Indy Eleven), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.