Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rhode Island v Tampa Bay Rowdies — Team-Based Signals
Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Rhode Island 1-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Actual Match Statistics
Rhode Island and Tampa Bay Rowdies couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Rhode Island at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Rhode Island had 50% of the ball to Tampa Bay Rowdies's 50%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.22 to 0.52.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rhode Island had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Rhode Island and 1.25 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.
What was the final score of Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Rhode Island 1-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 42%, draw 25%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rhode Island), BTTS No went the other way.