Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Louisville City v Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Louisville City
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
Louisville City
USLP
Louisville City 0-2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Actual Match Statistics
Pittsburgh Riverhounds got the better of Louisville City 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Louisville City at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Louisville City had 64% of the ball to Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 36%, shots finished 27-4, expected goals 2.03 to 0.49 — the balance of chances actually favoured Louisville City.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Louisville City and 0.33 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
What was the final score of Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Louisville City 0-2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 60%, draw 21%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 19%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.