Hartford Athletic 2-1 Detroit City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.83
6+ Goals
9%
17.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 33% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Detroit City EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.64/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.16
-10% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
18.6 Crosses 20.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartford Athletic
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Detroit City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.19 xG 0.86
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
300 Passes 316
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2025 Detroit City Detroit City 1-2 HT 1-2 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
29.06.2025 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 2-2 HT 2-1 Detroit City Detroit City USLKP
11.05.2025 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
01.09.2024 Detroit City Detroit City 1-1 HT 1-1 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
01.08.2024 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
24.09.2023 Detroit City Detroit City 3-0 HT 2-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartford Athletic
2-1
AWAY Detroit City
1.02 xG 0.57
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
179 Passes 234
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hartford Athletic vs Detroit City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartford Athletic edged past Detroit City 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 33% — and on the day Hartford Athletic made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hartford Athletic had 45% of the ball to Detroit City's 55%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.02 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartford Athletic had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hartford Athletic and 1.17 for Detroit City.

What was the final score of Hartford Athletic vs Detroit City?

Hartford Athletic 2-1 Detroit City in the USL Championship on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartford Athletic vs Detroit City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hartford Athletic 40%, draw 26%, Detroit City 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartford Athletic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hartford Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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