KTP Kotka 4-1 JaPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 10 Jul 2026

📅10/07/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.34
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
12%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.89
2-3 Goals
36%
1.91
4-5 Goals
30%
2.57
6+ Goals
13%
6.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
70%
+2.3pp
16%
Draw
18%
-1.7pp
12%
Away Win
12%
-0.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY JaPS EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +18%
2.68/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/2.19
+13% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KTP Kotka
3W-2D-1L
AWAY JaPS
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2026 JaPS JaPS 0-1 HT 0-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
13.09.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-2 HT 1-1 JaPS JaPS FİN2
05.07.2024 JaPS JaPS 0-0 HT 0-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
03.05.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 2-0 HT 0-0 JaPS JaPS FİN2
27.01.2024 JaPS JaPS 1-1 HT 0-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FINYK
09.09.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 6-0 HT 2-0 JaPS JaPS FINY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KTP Kotka
4-1
AWAY JaPS
16 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KTP Kotka vs JaPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KTP Kotka ran out comfortable winners over JaPS 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KTP Kotka as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 16-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for KTP Kotka and 0.50 for JaPS.

What was the final score of KTP Kotka vs JaPS?

KTP Kotka 4-1 JaPS in the Finland - Ykkönen on 10/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KTP Kotka vs JaPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split KTP Kotka 72%, draw 16%, JaPS 12%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KTP Kotka), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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