VPS 1-0 SJK Seinajoki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 10 Jul 2026

📅10/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.53
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.74
6+ Goals
10%
7.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.3
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
15%
4.63
X/2
13%
8.64
X/X
6%
5.77
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
20.4
2/2
11%
5.99
2/X
6%
13.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.4 — our 11% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
-0.2pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.7pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.9pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VPS EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.92/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/2.16
+10% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
20.9 Crosses 21.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VPS
5W-0D-1L
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.29 xG 1.88
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
253 Passes 298
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.06.2026 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-2 HT 1-0 VPS VPS FİN
21.02.2026 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-6 HT 0-3 VPS VPS FLK
10.08.2025 VPS VPS 1-2 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
12.05.2025 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-3 HT 1-1 VPS VPS FİN
22.02.2025 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-1 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FLK
28.09.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-4 HT 0-1 VPS VPS FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VPS
1-0
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
1.59 xG 0.81
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
246 Passes 239
29 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH VPS vs SJK Seinajoki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VPS nicked a narrow win over SJK Seinajoki 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had VPS as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.59 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for VPS and 1.00 for SJK Seinajoki.

What was the final score of VPS vs SJK Seinajoki?

VPS 1-0 SJK Seinajoki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 10/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VPS vs SJK Seinajoki?

Before kick-off our model rated a VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split VPS 52%, draw 20%, SJK Seinajoki 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VPS) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (VPS) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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