SJK Seinajoki 2-3 VPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 12 May 2025

📅12/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.66
2-3 Goals
35%
1.96
4-5 Goals
28%
2.96
6+ Goals
11%
8.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.03
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
10%
12.6
X/1 EV+ ✗
20%
5.4
X/2
7%
6.86
X/X
9%
5.57
2/1
6%
22.9
2/2
17%
4.36
2/X
5%
13.0
Value flag · X/1 at 5.4 — our 20% vs market 14.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.6pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY VPS EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +28%
1.90/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.36
+4% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
325 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
22.6 Crosses 14.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Seinajoki
2W-1D-3L
AWAY VPS
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.16 xG 1.19
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
385 Passes 294
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-1 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FLK
28.09.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-4 HT 0-1 VPS VPS FİN
12.08.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-1 HT 2-0 VPS VPS FİN
25.06.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 5-1 HT 2-1 VPS VPS FİK
12.04.2024 VPS VPS 1-1 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
27.01.2024 VPS VPS 2-1 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Seinajoki
2-3
AWAY VPS
2.22 xG 1.39
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 1
324 Passes 237
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
43 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SJK Seinajoki vs VPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VPS squeezed past SJK Seinajoki 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was SJK Seinajoki at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, SJK Seinajoki had 56% of the ball to VPS's 44%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.22 to 1.39 — on chances, SJK Seinajoki could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for SJK Seinajoki and 1.67 for VPS.

What was the final score of SJK Seinajoki vs VPS?

SJK Seinajoki 2-3 VPS in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Seinajoki vs VPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split SJK Seinajoki 46%, draw 24%, VPS 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) ✓ Over 2.5
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