SJK Seinajoki 1-4 VPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.57
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
33%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.63
Over 2.5
60%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.35
2-3 Goals
37%
2.11
4-5 Goals
30%
2.53
6+ Goals
13%
5.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.93
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.2
X/1
16%
4.18
X/2
8%
10.8
X/X
10%
7.19
2/1
7%
18.75
2/2
19%
6.92
2/X
6%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
59%
-14.1pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.9pp
33%
Away Win
21%
+12.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
34%
+5.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
66%
-5.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.1pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY VPS EU Bookmakers 24%
-9% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +17%
1.80/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.53
-17% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
438 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 82%
33.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
31.9 Crosses 17.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Seinajoki
2W-1D-3L
AWAY VPS
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.79 xG 1.21
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
390 Passes 290
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-1 HT 2-0 VPS VPS FİN
25.06.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 5-1 HT 2-1 VPS VPS FİK
12.04.2024 VPS VPS 1-1 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
27.01.2024 VPS VPS 2-1 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FLK
21.10.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-2 HT 0-1 VPS VPS FİN
09.08.2023 VPS VPS 3-2 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Seinajoki
1-4
AWAY VPS
1.18 xG 1.53
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
419 Passes 246
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 24
27 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SJK Seinajoki vs VPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VPS ran out comfortable winners over SJK Seinajoki 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was SJK Seinajoki at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, SJK Seinajoki had 60% of the ball to VPS's 40%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.18 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for SJK Seinajoki and 1.67 for VPS.

What was the final score of SJK Seinajoki vs VPS?

SJK Seinajoki 1-4 VPS in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Seinajoki vs VPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split SJK Seinajoki 45%, draw 22%, VPS 33%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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