HJK Helsinki vs Ilves Tampere Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HJK Helsinki v Ilves Tampere — Team-Based Signals
HJK Helsinki vs Ilves Tampere Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Ilves Tampere
FİN
1-1
HT 0-0
HJK Helsinki
FİN
1-2
HT 1-0
HJK Helsinki
FİN
2-1
HT 0-1
Ilves Tampere
FİN
HJK Helsinki 0-1 Ilves Tampere — Actual Match Statistics
Ilves Tampere edged past HJK Helsinki 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was HJK Helsinki at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, HJK Helsinki had 45% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 55%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.52 to 1.04.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for HJK Helsinki and 1.17 for Ilves Tampere.
What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs Ilves Tampere?
HJK Helsinki 0-1 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs Ilves Tampere?
Before kick-off our model rated a HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 43%, draw 27%, Ilves Tampere 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (HJK Helsinki) went the other way.