IFK Mariehamn 3-0 EIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.1
Over 2.5
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 29% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.1
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.9
X/1
11%
3.98
X/2
10%
9.9
X/X
16%
5.63
2/1
6%
21.85
2/2
10%
7.36
2/X
7%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-12.8pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.5pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY EIF EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.85/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.46
+21% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -45%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 83%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
20.8 Crosses 16.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Mariehamn
3W-0D-2L
AWAY EIF
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
2.07 xG 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
422 Passes 246
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 12
30 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.06.2024 EIF EIF 1-2 HT 1-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
06.04.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 3-2 HT 2-2 EIF EIF FİN
17.02.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 1-2 HT 0-1 EIF EIF FLK
02.03.2018 EIF EIF 1-0 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİK
18.02.2017 EIF EIF 0-1 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Mariehamn
3-0
AWAY EIF
2.27 xG 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
429 Passes 320
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IFK Mariehamn vs EIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Mariehamn swept aside EIF 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had IFK Mariehamn as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, IFK Mariehamn had 55% of the ball to EIF's 45%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 2.27 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, IFK Mariehamn had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 1.20 for EIF.

What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs EIF?

IFK Mariehamn 3-0 EIF in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs EIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Mariehamn win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 44%, draw 31%, EIF 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Mariehamn) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IFK Mariehamn) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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