SJK Seinajoki 1-2 VPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 17 Jun 2026

📅17/06/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 29% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.31
1/2
10%
29.0
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
12%
5.34
X/2
10%
6.16
X/X
16%
4.76
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
14%
4.14
2/X
9%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-6.6pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.3pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY VPS EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -16%
1.50/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.17
-18% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 82%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
26.9 Crosses 17.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Seinajoki
2W-0D-4L
AWAY VPS
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
2.42 xG 1.15
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
320 Passes 260
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2026 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-6 HT 0-3 VPS VPS FLK
10.08.2025 VPS VPS 1-2 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
12.05.2025 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-3 HT 1-1 VPS VPS FİN
22.02.2025 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-1 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FLK
28.09.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-4 HT 0-1 VPS VPS FİN
12.08.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-1 HT 2-0 VPS VPS FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Seinajoki
1-2
AWAY VPS
2.00 xG 1.23
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
255 Passes 320
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SJK Seinajoki vs VPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VPS edged past SJK Seinajoki 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 34%) promised a tight game; VPS found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, SJK Seinajoki had 46% of the ball to VPS's 54%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 2.00 to 1.23 — on chances, SJK Seinajoki could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for SJK Seinajoki and 2.67 for VPS.

What was the final score of SJK Seinajoki vs VPS?

SJK Seinajoki 1-2 VPS in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 17/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Seinajoki vs VPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split SJK Seinajoki 34%, draw 32%, VPS 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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