HJK Helsinki 3-3 Inter Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 17 Jun 2026

📅17/06/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
28%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.91
Over 2.5
41%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
3.33
2-3 Goals
33%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.32
6+ Goals
8%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 37% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.51
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
16%
5.54
X/2
10%
5.99
X/X
17%
4.63
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
12%
3.96
2/X
7%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.7pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-5.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.5pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 37%
-13% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
1.44/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.17
+11% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.4
17.9 Crosses 18.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HJK Helsinki
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Inter Turku
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.11 xG 2.11
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
409 Passes 422
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 34
10 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.04.2026 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-1 HT 1-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
30.01.2026 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-3 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FLK
26.10.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-1 HT 1-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
23.09.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-0 HT 0-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
04.08.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-4 HT 0-2 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
03.05.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-1 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HJK Helsinki
3-3
AWAY Inter Turku
0.95 xG 1.32
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
394 Passes 351
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HJK Helsinki and Inter Turku couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was HJK Helsinki at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HJK Helsinki had 52% of the ball to Inter Turku's 48%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.95 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for HJK Helsinki and 1.33 for Inter Turku.

What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku?

HJK Helsinki 3-3 Inter Turku in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 17/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated a HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 41%, draw 31%, Inter Turku 28%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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