Inter Turku 1-1 HJK Helsinki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 29 Apr 2026

📅29/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.99
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.63
6+ Goals
7%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 30% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.36
1/2
9%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
8%
5.16
X/2
12%
6.04
X/X
12%
4.49
2/1
10%
27.5
2/2
13%
4.28
2/X
10%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-5.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.9pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -19%
1.62/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.47
+8% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
17.9 Crosses 14.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
1W-4D-1L
AWAY HJK Helsinki
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.06 xG 1.07
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
393 Passes 440
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
32 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.01.2026 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-3 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FLK
26.10.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-1 HT 1-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
23.09.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-0 HT 0-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
04.08.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-4 HT 0-2 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
03.05.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-1 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
29.03.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 4-4 HT 1-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Turku
1-1
AWAY HJK Helsinki
2.30 xG 1.26
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
536 Passes 289
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
43 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs HJK Helsinki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku and HJK Helsinki couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Inter Turku had 63% of the ball to HJK Helsinki's 37%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 2.30 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Inter Turku and 1.67 for HJK Helsinki.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs HJK Helsinki?

Inter Turku 1-1 HJK Helsinki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs HJK Helsinki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 36%, draw 31%, HJK Helsinki 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Turku) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →