Inter Turku 1-3 HJK Helsinki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 30 Jan 2026

📅30/01/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.96
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.95
6+ Goals
11%
9.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.99/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.07/1.98
+11% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -96% / -31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
1W-4D-1L
AWAY HJK Helsinki
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.06 xG 1.07
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
393 Passes 440
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
32 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-1 HT 1-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
23.09.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-0 HT 0-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
04.08.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-4 HT 0-2 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
03.05.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-1 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
29.03.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 4-4 HT 1-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FLK
17.01.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-2 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FLK
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs HJK Helsinki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HJK Helsinki beat Inter Turku 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Turku at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Inter Turku and 1.50 for HJK Helsinki.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs HJK Helsinki?

Inter Turku 1-3 HJK Helsinki in the Finland - League Cup on 30/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs HJK Helsinki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 41%, draw 25%, HJK Helsinki 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Turku) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✓ BTTS Yes
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