Inter Turku 1-1 HJK Helsinki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.19
2-3 Goals
45%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.85
6+ Goals
9%
16.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.34
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
11%
5.12
X/2
10%
6.17
X/X
11%
4.71
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
27.5
2/2
11%
4.43
2/X
10%
14.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 10% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.97/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.09
+18% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
32.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
17.9 Crosses 15.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
1W-1D-4L
AWAY HJK Helsinki
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.00 xG 1.18
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
371 Passes 386
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 4-4 HT 1-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FLK
17.01.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-2 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FLK
25.08.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-0 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
11.05.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-1 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
17.02.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-2 HT 1-2 Inter Turku Inter Turku FLK
16.09.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 2-0 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Turku
1-1
AWAY HJK Helsinki
3.21 xG 1.04
53% Ball Possession 47%
24 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 1
464 Passes 390
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
45 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs HJK Helsinki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku and HJK Helsinki shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Turku at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Inter Turku had 53% of the ball to HJK Helsinki's 47%, shots finished 24-13, expected goals 3.21 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Inter Turku and 1.83 for HJK Helsinki.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs HJK Helsinki?

Inter Turku 1-1 HJK Helsinki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs HJK Helsinki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 41%, draw 30%, HJK Helsinki 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Turku) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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