HJK Helsinki 4-4 Inter Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.04
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.56
6+ Goals
10%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 32% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.9
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
16%
4.88
X/2
10%
7.3
X/X
13%
4.53
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
13%
5.42
2/X
10%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 31%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
3.33/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/0.34
+150% / +127% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
442 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HJK Helsinki
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Inter Turku
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.60 xG 1.21
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
398 Passes 356
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.01.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-2 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FLK
25.08.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-0 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
11.05.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-1 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
17.02.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-2 HT 1-2 Inter Turku Inter Turku FLK
16.09.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 2-0 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
20.08.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-3 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HJK Helsinki
4-4
AWAY Inter Turku
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HJK Helsinki and Inter Turku couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was HJK Helsinki at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, HJK Helsinki had 54% of the ball to Inter Turku's 46%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for HJK Helsinki and 0.67 for Inter Turku.

What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku?

HJK Helsinki 4-4 Inter Turku in the Finland - League Cup on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated a HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 42%, draw 28%, Inter Turku 30%. The final score 4-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →