HJK Helsinki 1-4 Inter Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 4 Aug 2025

📅04/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.38
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.95
2-3 Goals
40%
1.97
4-5 Goals
24%
2.82
6+ Goals
10%
7.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
3.5
1/2
6%
24.35
1/X
6%
12.1
X/1
12%
6.05
X/2
9%
6.14
X/X
8%
5.52
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.95
2/2
16%
3.58
2/X
6%
12.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.95 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
38%
+10.3pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.5pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.7pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.14/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.42
-14% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 82%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
17.9 Crosses 22.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HJK Helsinki
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Inter Turku
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.89 xG 1.92
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
318 Passes 460
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-1 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
29.03.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 4-4 HT 1-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FLK
17.01.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-2 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FLK
25.08.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-0 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
11.05.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-1 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
17.02.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-2 HT 1-2 Inter Turku Inter Turku FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HJK Helsinki
1-4
AWAY Inter Turku
1.42 xG 2.03
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 1
487 Passes 359
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
34 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku ran out comfortable winners over HJK Helsinki 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was HJK Helsinki at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, HJK Helsinki had 57% of the ball to Inter Turku's 43%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.42 to 2.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for HJK Helsinki and 1.33 for Inter Turku.

What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku?

HJK Helsinki 1-4 Inter Turku in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated a HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 49%, draw 20%, Inter Turku 31%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (HJK Helsinki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN More Finland - Veikkausliiga
4 Aug 2025
18:00 Ilves Tampere vs Gnistan Analysis →