Ilves Tampere 5-0 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 17 Jun 2026

📅17/06/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.96
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
2.95
6+ Goals
10%
9.19
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.96 — our 27% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.09
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
4%
14.3
X/1
22%
4.23
X/2
9%
9.66
X/X
12%
5.78
2/1
8%
20.8
2/2
7%
7.35
2/X
7%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
56%
+0.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
1.95/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.39
+19% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +52%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
447 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
16.1 Crosses 16.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Jaro
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.59 xG 0.84
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
506 Passes 264
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
52 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2026 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 4-2 HT 3-1 Jaro Jaro FLK
20.07.2025 Jaro Jaro 0-1 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
12.04.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-1 HT 2-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
22.02.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 4-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FLK
16.08.2015 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
16.06.2015 Jaro Jaro 3-0 HT 2-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves Tampere
5-0
AWAY Jaro
2.22 xG 0.61
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
489 Passes 443
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ilves Tampere vs Jaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere ran out comfortable winners over Jaro 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ilves Tampere as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ilves Tampere had 51% of the ball to Jaro's 49%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.22 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ilves Tampere and 1.00 for Jaro.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs Jaro?

Ilves Tampere 5-0 Jaro in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 17/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 57%, draw 23%, Jaro 20%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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