Ilves Tampere 4-2 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.3
Draw
15%
4.81
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.54
2-3 Goals
46%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.74
6+ Goals
10%
7.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
72%
-4.7pp
15%
Draw
17%
-2.4pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+7.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 14%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.50/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/2.60
+24% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
471 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Jaro
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.59 xG 0.84
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
506 Passes 264
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
52 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2025 Jaro Jaro 0-1 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
12.04.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-1 HT 2-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
22.02.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 4-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FLK
16.08.2015 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
16.06.2015 Jaro Jaro 3-0 HT 2-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
29.04.2015 Jaro Jaro 3-1 HT 1-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
POST-MATCH Ilves Tampere vs Jaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere saw off Jaro 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ilves Tampere as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ilves Tampere and 1.17 for Jaro.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs Jaro?

Ilves Tampere 4-2 Jaro in the Finland - League Cup on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 67%, draw 15%, Jaro 18%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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