FC Lahti 5-1 TPS Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
5.03
2-3 Goals
41%
1.95
4-5 Goals
23%
2.62
6+ Goals
8%
6.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.0pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 30%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.98
+47% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +43%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
496 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 191 · 60%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Lahti
1W-4D-1L
AWAY TPS Turku
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 TPS Turku TPS Turku 3-3 HT 3-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN2
14.07.2025 FC Lahti FC Lahti 2-2 HT 1-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
21.05.2025 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-2 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN2
29.03.2025 TPS Turku TPS Turku 3-2 FC Lahti FC Lahti FINYK
23.10.2022 FC Lahti FC Lahti 2-1 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN
20.10.2022 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
POST-MATCH FC Lahti vs TPS Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Lahti swept aside TPS Turku 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Lahti as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Lahti and 2.00 for TPS Turku.

What was the final score of FC Lahti vs TPS Turku?

FC Lahti 5-1 TPS Turku in the Finland - League Cup on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Lahti vs TPS Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Lahti win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Lahti 49%, draw 23%, TPS Turku 28%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Lahti), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Lahti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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