KuPS Kuopio 3-1 VPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.49
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.6
6+ Goals
10%
6.27
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.12 — our 27% vs market 14.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
62%
-0.9pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.6pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.5pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY VPS EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.86/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/2.47
-1% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / -35%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
504 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
4W-1D-1L
AWAY VPS
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.51 xG 0.78
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
407 Passes 371
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.07.2025 VPS VPS 1-1 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
25.05.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-2 HT 0-1 VPS VPS FİN
01.02.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-0 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FLK
14.09.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-1 HT 1-0 VPS VPS FİN
22.05.2024 VPS VPS 1-3 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
10.05.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-1 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
3-1
AWAY VPS
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs VPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio saw off VPS 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 64% of the ball to VPS's 36%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 1.00 for VPS.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs VPS?

KuPS Kuopio 3-1 VPS in the Finland - League Cup on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs VPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 61%, draw 18%, VPS 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✗ BTTS No
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