KuPS Kuopio 0-2 VPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.3
6+ Goals
13%
11.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.3 — our 28% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.38
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
17%
4.52
X/2
9%
8.73
X/X
12%
5.32
2/1
8%
22.45
2/2
11%
6.56
2/X
5%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY VPS EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +26%
1.14/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.74
-30% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
21.0 Crosses 16.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
5W-0D-1L
AWAY VPS
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.48 xG 1.01
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
378 Passes 378
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-0 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FLK
14.09.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-1 HT 1-0 VPS VPS FİN
22.05.2024 VPS VPS 1-3 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
10.05.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-1 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FİN
08.02.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 5-0 HT 3-0 VPS VPS FLK
17.09.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-2 HT 0-1 VPS VPS FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
0-2
AWAY VPS
1.74 xG 1.16
71% Ball Possession 29%
26 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 0
602 Passes 213
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
49 Box Touches 16
39 Crosses 3
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs VPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VPS saw off KuPS Kuopio 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was KuPS Kuopio at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 71% of the ball to VPS's 29%, shots finished 26-7, expected goals 1.74 to 1.16 — on chances, KuPS Kuopio could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 0.83 for VPS.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs VPS?

KuPS Kuopio 0-2 VPS in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs VPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 50%, draw 24%, VPS 25%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN More Finland - Veikkausliiga
25 May 2025
18:30 SJK Seinajoki vs Inter Turku Analysis →