VPS 1-1 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.03
Over 2.5
42%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.63
No
55%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
20%
3.28
6+ Goals
8%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 33% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.88
1/2
6%
23.75
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
11%
7.08
X/2 EV+ ✗
24%
5.09
X/X
14%
5.11
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
16%
2.92
2/X
5%
12.8
Value flag · X/2 at 5.09 — our 24% vs market 15.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
46%
Away Win
44%
+1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
45%
+12.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
55%
-12.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
57%
-12.5pp
55%
BTTS No
43%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VPS EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.32/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.87
+1% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 82%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
17.5 Crosses 21.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VPS
1W-0D-5L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.77 xG 1.79
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
350 Passes 430
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-2 HT 0-1 VPS VPS FİN
01.02.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-0 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FLK
14.09.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-1 HT 1-0 VPS VPS FİN
22.05.2024 VPS VPS 1-3 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
10.05.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-1 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FİN
08.02.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 5-0 HT 3-0 VPS VPS FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VPS
1-1
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.83 xG 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
451 Passes 318
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 18
29 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ VPS vs KuPS Kuopio
Match summary & frequently asked questions

VPS and KuPS Kuopio shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 19 Jul 2025. Half-time: 0-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

On the day, VPS had 57% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 43%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.83 to 0.67.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio lead the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for VPS and 2.50 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of VPS vs KuPS Kuopio?

VPS 1-1 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VPS vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split VPS 28%, draw 26%, KuPS Kuopio 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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