TPS Turku 3-3 FC Lahti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
46%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.41
2-3 Goals
47%
1.87
4-5 Goals
19%
2.74
6+ Goals
9%
7.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.0pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 45%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.77/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.01
+29% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TPS Turku
1W-4D-1L
AWAY FC Lahti
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.07.2025 FC Lahti FC Lahti 2-2 HT 1-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
21.05.2025 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-2 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN2
29.03.2025 TPS Turku TPS Turku 3-2 FC Lahti FC Lahti FINYK
23.10.2022 FC Lahti FC Lahti 2-1 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN
20.10.2022 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
17.09.2020 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-1 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TPS Turku
3-3
AWAY FC Lahti
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH TPS Turku vs FC Lahti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TPS Turku and FC Lahti shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FC Lahti at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, TPS Turku had 44% of the ball to FC Lahti's 56%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for TPS Turku and 1.67 for FC Lahti.

What was the final score of TPS Turku vs FC Lahti?

TPS Turku 3-3 FC Lahti in the Finland - Ykkönen on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TPS Turku vs FC Lahti?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Lahti win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split TPS Turku 29%, draw 25%, FC Lahti 46%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Lahti) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Lahti) ✓ BTTS Yes
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