KaPa 1-2 SalPa Salo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.33
No
33%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.85
2-3 Goals
38%
2.17
4-5 Goals
30%
2.36
6+ Goals
15%
4.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
16%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.1pp
67%
BTTS Yes
71%
-3.9pp
33%
BTTS No
29%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KaPa EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.80/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.40
+10% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
434 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KaPa
2W-2D-2L
AWAY SalPa Salo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2025 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-0 HT 0-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
21.05.2025 KaPa KaPa 3-1 HT 0-1 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
05.10.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-4 HT 0-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
12.06.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-1 HT 0-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
19.04.2024 KaPa KaPa 1-1 HT 1-1 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
02.03.2024 KaPa KaPa 0-2 HT 0-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FINYK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KaPa
1-2
AWAY SalPa Salo
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KaPa vs SalPa Salo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SalPa Salo nicked a narrow win over KaPa 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 36% — and on the day SalPa Salo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (67%) came in.

On the day, KaPa had 55% of the ball to SalPa Salo's 45%, shots finished 14-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for KaPa and 1.17 for SalPa Salo.

What was the final score of KaPa vs SalPa Salo?

KaPa 1-2 SalPa Salo in the Finland - Ykkönen on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KaPa vs SalPa Salo?

Before kick-off our model rated a KaPa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split KaPa 40%, draw 23%, SalPa Salo 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KaPa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KaPa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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