KaPa 3-1 SalPa Salo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 21 May 2025

📅21/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.96
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
27%
2.63
6+ Goals
15%
6.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+6.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.1pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KaPa EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.99/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.98
+21% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +63%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
286 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KaPa
1W-3D-2L
AWAY SalPa Salo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-4 HT 0-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
12.06.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-1 HT 0-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
19.04.2024 KaPa KaPa 1-1 HT 1-1 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
02.03.2024 KaPa KaPa 0-2 HT 0-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FINYK
01.10.2023 KaPa KaPa 1-1 HT 1-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FINY
21.07.2023 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 2-0 HT 0-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KaPa
3-1
AWAY SalPa Salo
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KaPa vs SalPa Salo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KaPa saw off SalPa Salo 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and on the day KaPa made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, KaPa had 59% of the ball to SalPa Salo's 41%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SalPa Salo led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for KaPa and 1.33 for SalPa Salo.

What was the final score of KaPa vs SalPa Salo?

KaPa 3-1 SalPa Salo in the Finland - Ykkönen on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KaPa vs SalPa Salo?

Before kick-off our model rated a KaPa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split KaPa 39%, draw 23%, SalPa Salo 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KaPa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KaPa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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