SalPa Salo 1-0 KaPa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.63
Over 2.5
58%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.83
2-3 Goals
43%
2.05
4-5 Goals
26%
2.48
6+ Goals
13%
5.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-3.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
34%
+8.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
66%
-8.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.2pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY KaPa EU Bookmakers 46%
-13% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-5% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
299 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SalPa Salo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY KaPa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.05.2025 KaPa KaPa 3-1 HT 0-1 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
05.10.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-4 HT 0-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
12.06.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-1 HT 0-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
19.04.2024 KaPa KaPa 1-1 HT 1-1 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
02.03.2024 KaPa KaPa 0-2 HT 0-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FINYK
01.10.2023 KaPa KaPa 1-1 HT 1-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FINY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SalPa Salo
1-0
AWAY KaPa
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SalPa Salo vs KaPa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SalPa Salo nicked a narrow win over KaPa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day SalPa Salo made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SalPa Salo had 41% of the ball to KaPa's 59%, shots finished 4-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KaPa led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for SalPa Salo and 1.67 for KaPa.

What was the final score of SalPa Salo vs KaPa?

SalPa Salo 1-0 KaPa in the Finland - Ykkönen on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SalPa Salo vs KaPa?

Before kick-off our model rated an KaPa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split SalPa Salo 36%, draw 26%, KaPa 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (KaPa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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