Gnistan 1-0 FC Lahti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 17 Jun 2026

📅17/06/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.61
No
39%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
11.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.17 — our 27% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.46
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.4
X/1
11%
5.57
X/2
11%
6.04
X/X
18%
4.79
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
16%
3.92
2/X
7%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.5pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.7pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+3.5pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gnistan EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 38%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.47/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.24
+68% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +43%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.1
20.0 Crosses 11.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gnistan
1W-3D-1L
AWAY FC Lahti
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.52 xG 0.79
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
298 Passes 269
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2026 Gnistan Gnistan 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FLK
05.10.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
19.06.2024 FC Lahti FC Lahti 3-3 HT 1-2 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
02.06.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
17.02.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 1-2 HT 1-2 FC Lahti FC Lahti FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gnistan
1-0
AWAY FC Lahti
2.22 xG 1.84
40% Ball Possession 60%
19 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
251 Passes 418
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
35 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gnistan vs FC Lahti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gnistan squeezed past FC Lahti 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Gnistan found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gnistan had 40% of the ball to FC Lahti's 60%, shots finished 19-20, expected goals 2.22 to 1.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Gnistan and 1.60 for FC Lahti.

What was the final score of Gnistan vs FC Lahti?

Gnistan 1-0 FC Lahti in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 17/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gnistan vs FC Lahti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gnistan win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Gnistan 35%, draw 32%, FC Lahti 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gnistan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gnistan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN More Finland - Veikkausliiga
17 Jun 2026
18:00 Ilves Tampere vs Jaro Analysis →
18:00 HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku Analysis →
18:00 TPS Turku vs KuPS Kuopio Analysis →
21:00 SJK Seinajoki vs VPS Analysis →