VPS 1-2 SJK Seinajoki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.36
2-3 Goals
42%
1.91
4-5 Goals
20%
3.01
6+ Goals
8%
9.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.36 — our 30% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.84
1/2
8%
24.35
1/X
7%
12.35
X/1
16%
6.21
X/2
11%
5.77
X/X
15%
5.22
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
13%
3.41
2/X
7%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-6.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.0pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VPS EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 42%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.38/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.03
+4% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
340 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
19.1 Crosses 24.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VPS
3W-1D-2L
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.24 xG 2.18
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
280 Passes 370
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2025 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-3 HT 1-1 VPS VPS FİN
22.02.2025 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-1 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FLK
28.09.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-4 HT 0-1 VPS VPS FİN
12.08.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-1 HT 2-0 VPS VPS FİN
25.06.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 5-1 HT 2-1 VPS VPS FİK
12.04.2024 VPS VPS 1-1 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VPS
1-2
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
1.00 xG 2.13
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 10
208 Passes 192
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 28
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH VPS vs SJK Seinajoki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki nicked a narrow win over VPS 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; SJK Seinajoki found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, VPS had 52% of the ball to SJK Seinajoki's 48%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.00 to 2.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for VPS and 2.00 for SJK Seinajoki.

What was the final score of VPS vs SJK Seinajoki?

VPS 1-2 SJK Seinajoki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VPS vs SJK Seinajoki?

Before kick-off our model rated a VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split VPS 39%, draw 30%, SJK Seinajoki 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (VPS), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VPS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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