Changwon City 0-1 Gimhae City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 10 Jul 2026

📅10/07/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changwon City EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimhae City EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -41%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 14.7
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changwon City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gimhae City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
07.09.2025 Gimhae City Gimhae City 2-1 HT 0-1 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
10.05.2025 Changwon City Changwon City 0-1 HT 0-1 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
29.06.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 0-2 HT 0-2 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
03.03.2024 Gimhae City Gimhae City 2-1 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
15.09.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 3-2 HT 2-1 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
21.05.2023 Gimhae City Gimhae City 2-2 HT 1-2 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changwon City
0-1
AWAY Gimhae City
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
530 Passes 277
16 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Changwon City vs Gimhae City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimhae City squeezed past Changwon City 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Changwon City at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimhae City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Changwon City and 1.83 for Gimhae City.

What was the final score of Changwon City vs Gimhae City?

Changwon City 0-1 Gimhae City in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 10/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changwon City vs Gimhae City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Changwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Changwon City 47%, draw 28%, Gimhae City 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Changwon City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Changwon City) ✓ Under 2.5
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