Tottenham 2-3 Bayern Münih — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Aug 2024

Tottenham
2-3 HT 1-3
Bayern Münih
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

Tottenham vs Bayern Münih Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
34%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.29
No
40%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
9.3
2-3 Goals
38%
2.46
4-5 Goals
28%
2.34
6+ Goals
16%
3.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.85
1/2
7%
18.8
1/X
6%
12.35
X/1
13%
7.31
X/2
11%
5.65
X/X
11%
7.14
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
23.15
2/2
16%
2.71
2/X
6%
12.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 13% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
34%
+9.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
34%
Away Win
43%
-9.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
24%
+15.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
76%
-15.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
73%
-12.8pp
40%
BTTS No
27%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tottenham v Bayern Münih — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 48%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.06/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.00
-27% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -34%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 82%
38.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
13.2 Crosses 16.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.0

Tottenham vs Bayern Münih Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tottenham
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Bayern Münih
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
1.57 xG 1.84
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
312 Passes 496
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 36
10 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.08.2024 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 2-1 HT 1-0 Tottenham Tottenham HAZ
11.12.2019 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 3-1 HT 2-1 Tottenham Tottenham ŞMP
01.10.2019 Tottenham Tottenham 2-7 HT 1-2 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih ŞMP
31.07.2019 Tottenham Tottenham 2-2 HT 1-0 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih HAZ

Tottenham 2-3 Bayern Münih — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham
2-3
AWAY Bayern Münih
1.11 xG 2.53
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
352 Passes 453
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
23 Box Touches 38
7 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tottenham vs Bayern Münih
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih nicked a narrow win over Tottenham 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Tottenham at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tottenham had 45% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 55%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 1.11 to 2.53 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bayern Münih's control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tottenham and 3.50 for Bayern Münih.

What was the final score of Tottenham vs Bayern Münih?

Tottenham 2-3 Bayern Münih in the Friendlies on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham vs Bayern Münih?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tottenham 43%, draw 23%, Bayern Münih 34%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tottenham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tottenham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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