Alianza 0-2 Isidro Metapan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.8pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.1pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.9pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 31%
+13% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.62/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.11
+27% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Isidro Metapan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
27.04.2025 Alianza Alianza 1-0 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
02.03.2025 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-1 HT 1-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
08.12.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
06.12.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
03.11.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
01.09.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-2 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Isidro Metapan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isidro Metapan beat Alianza 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Isidro Metapan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Alianza and 0.83 for Isidro Metapan.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Isidro Metapan?

Alianza 0-2 Isidro Metapan in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Isidro Metapan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alianza 46%, draw 24%, Isidro Metapan 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alianza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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