Alianza 1-0 Isidro Metapan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.09
No
65%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.4pp
35%
BTTS Yes
44%
-8.8pp
65%
BTTS No
56%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 31%
+13% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +9%
1.51/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.12
+17% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Isidro Metapan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
02.03.2025 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-1 HT 1-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
08.12.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
06.12.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
03.11.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
01.09.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-2 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
28.03.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-3 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Isidro Metapan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza squeezed past Isidro Metapan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Isidro Metapan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alianza and 0.83 for Isidro Metapan.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Isidro Metapan?

Alianza 1-0 Isidro Metapan in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Isidro Metapan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Alianza 41%, draw 28%, Isidro Metapan 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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