Coleraine FC 1-0 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.99
No
46%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.72
2-3 Goals
47%
1.72
4-5 Goals
16%
3.86
6+ Goals
10%
17.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.22
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
9%
15.15
X/1
18%
4.04
X/2
6%
9.61
X/X
11%
4.66
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
11%
8.26
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
16.9
Value flag · 2/X at 16.9 — our 9% vs market 3.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.7pp
46%
BTTS No
54%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +25%
1.76/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.97
+0% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +69%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
427 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Larne FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
12.04.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
15.03.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
10.11.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
01.09.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
27.04.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 5-0 HT 3-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
09.03.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Coleraine FC vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coleraine FC nicked a narrow win over Larne FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Coleraine FC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Coleraine FC and 1.83 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Coleraine FC vs Larne FC?

Coleraine FC 1-0 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coleraine FC vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 50%, draw 29%, Larne FC 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coleraine FC), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
10 Aug 2025
17:00 Bangor FC vs Cliftonville Analysis →
17:00 Linfield FC vs Dungannon Swifts Analysis →